A new study co-authored by Yale SOM’s Theis Jensen finds that a small group of informed traders drive prices—and take home a ...

Prediction markets have gone from a niche internet product to mainstream surprisingly quickly. The idea is simple: you put real money behind your forecast on a real-world event — who wins the election ...

The prediction-market industry has a lot of reasons to be optimistic right now. It’s growing extremely quickly, multiplying many times in size since last year by drawing in new users. Kalshi just ...

Prediction markets are financial exchanges that allow people to trade on the outcomes of future events, from election results to baseball games to the subject of an Elon Musk tweet. Part forecasting ...

A year ago, most Americans had never placed a prediction market trade - or even knew what one was. Now there are over a dozen prediction market platforms competing for your deposit and billions of ...

Gen Z and millennials are far more likely to get into prediction markets than their elders, but there's a good chance many aren't making money on the platforms. Nearly a third of Gen Zers (32%) and ...

Prediction markets, platforms that allow users to wager on future events, are facing growing scrutiny as suspicious trading activity raises concerns about insider information. The spotlight ...

Prediction markets are having a moment. But what are they actually good for? Economist Robin Hanson has been thinking about this for decades. Long before betting markets went mainstream, he argued ...

The first prediction markets exchange-traded funds were anticipated to launch as early as last week, but the Securities and Exchange Commission delayed approval, a situation evoking memories of the ...